#AFGHANISTAN : Défaite ou changement stratégique des Etats-Unis et de l'OTAN ? 12 septembre 2021

[Le ministre chinois des Affaires étrangères Wang Yi (au centre) reçoit la délégation des talibans menée par le mollah Abdul Ghani Baradar (à gauche de Wang Yi), juillet 2021 à Tianjin.]

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Notes de la Rédaction

#AFGHANISTAN : Le départ précipité des forces OTAN de Kaboul a pris l'allure d'une déroute et permis à l'ensemble des médias mainstrean et aux géostratèges de plateau de télévision de conclure à la déroute magistrale américaine. Bien sûr, il n'en est rien.

L’OTAN a toujours besoin – et plus que jamais d’une fabrique de terrorisme, et l’Afghanistan va redevenir un problème pour la Chine et pour la Russie. 

Une partie des armes lourdes US laissées à Kaboul n’a-t-elle pas déjà rejoint l’Ouzbékistan ?

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Le texte stratégique reproduit ci-dessous émane des services américains et date de … 2001 - déjà  - qui indique l’impérieuse nécessité pour les intérêts US de créer partout dans le monde des zones d’instabilité, situation totalement favorable aux intérêts OTAN.

« Pour le Pentagone depuis 2001, la stabilité est l’ennemi stratégique des États-Unis, tandis que pour la Russie, c’est la condition de la paix" .

D'autres préfereront constater une des déclinaisons de la doctrine dite Rumsfeld-Cebrowski qui n'est pas en totale opposition avec la première : Il ne faut pas combattre les puissances, mais les transformer en clients.

La Chine ne postule-t-elle pas déjà pour l'exploitation des mines afghanes* ? Les Talibans n'ont-ils pas le soutien inconditionnel de leurs frères Pakistanais toujours sous controle CIA** ?

Loin d'une défaite, l'attitude des Etats-Unis/OTAN obéit à un changement de doctrine stratégique laquelle ne devrait pas etre celle de la France, si elle était libérée du joug de l'OTAN.

Bonne lecture à contrecourant. Pour mieux comprendre le monde réel.

JLuc Pujo – rédact. Chef 

Notes : deux livres notamment "The Pentagon’s New Map : War and Peace in the Twenty-first Century", Thomas P. M. Barnett, Paw Prints (2004) et de Ralph Peters "Never Quit the Fight".

* Afghanistan : le pari de la Chine avec les talibans - 25 aout 2021

**  Le directeur de la CIA discute avec le chef de l'armée pakistanaise de la situation en Afghanistan -  9 septembre 2021;

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Stability, America's Enemy / Ralph Peters / Winter 2001 / U.S. Army War College

Copyright: COPYRIGHT 2001 U.S. Army War College

The diplomats and decisionmakers of the United States believe, habitually and uncritically, that stability abroad is our most important strategic objective. They may insist, with fragile sincerity, that democracy and human rights are our international priorities--although our policymakers do not seem to understand the requirements of the first and refuse to meet the requirements of the second. The United States will go to war over economic threats, as in Desert Storm. At present, we are preoccupied with a crusade against terrorism, which is as worthy as it is difficult. But the consistent, pervasive goal of Washington's foreign policy is stability. America's finest values are sacrificed to keep bad governments in place, dysfunctional borders intact, and oppressed human beings well-behaved. In one of the greatest acts of self-betrayal in history, the nation that long was the catalyst of global change and which remains the beneficiary of international upheaval has made stability its diplomatic god.

Our insistence on stability above all stands against the tides of history, and that is always a losing proposition. Nonetheless, our efforts might be understandable were they in our national interest. But they are not. Historically, instability abroad has been to America's advantage, bringing us enhanced prestige and influence, safe-haven-seeking investment, a peerless national currency, and flows of refugees that have proven to be rivers of diamonds (imagine how much poorer our lives would be, in virtually every regard, had our nation not been enriched by refugees from Europe's disturbances in the last century).

Without the instability of the declining 18th century, as the old European order decayed, we would not have gained the French assistance decisive to our struggle for independence. Without the instability of the 20th century, protectionist imperial regimes might have lingered on to stymie our economic expansion. And without the turbulence that seeks to rebalance the world today, much of humanity would continue to rot under the corrupt, oppressive regimes that are falling everywhere, from the Balkans to Southeast Asia. A free world subject to popular decision is impossible without the dismantling of the obsolete governments we rush to defend. In one of history's bitterest ironies, the United States finally became, in the 1990s, the reactionary power leftists painted us during the Cold War.

Before examining in greater detail why instability abroad is often to America's long-term benefit, let us consider the foolish manner in which we have descended from being a nation that championed change and human freedom to one that squanders its wealth, power, and lives in defense of a very bad status quo.

We began well enough, applauding Latin America's struggles to liberate itself from the grip of degenerate European empires (except, of course, in the case of Haiti, whose dark-skinned freedom fighters made our own Southern slave-holders nervous). The Monroe Doctrine was not about stability, but about protecting a new and beneficial instability from reactionary Europe. We did take an enormous bite of Mexican territory, which Mexico had inherited and could not manage, but we did not attempt to...

SOURCE:

https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol31/iss4/8/

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The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters

Volume 31

Number 4 Parameters Winter 2001

Article 8

11-20-2001

Stability, America's Enemy

Ralph Peters

Follow this and additional works at: https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters

Peters, Ralph. "Stability, America's Enemy." The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters 31, 4 (2001). https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol31/iss4/8

This Article is brought to you for free and open access by USAWC Press. It has been accepted for inclusion in The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters by an authorized editor of USAWC Press.

© 2001 Ralph Peters

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